PERFORMANCE TRANSPARENCY
Track Record
Every price target. Every pick. Full transparency — no cherry-picking.
4
Picks
2/4
Price Targets Hit
+78%
Avg Target Upside
+61.7%
Portfolio Return
Portfolio vs. S&P 500
$4,000 invested ($1K per pick · closed proceeds reinvested)
$6,469
+61.7%
My Picks
$5,083
+27.1%
S&P 500
Active Picks — Current Prices
All Research Picks
First Solar: Buy-Rated with $190 Price Target Despite Emerging Policy Risks
Despite a 41% post-election selloff driven by IRA uncertainty, First Solar's fundamentals remain compelling. My multi-model valuation (DCF, EV/EBITDA, PE, P/CF) all converge below fair value, supporting a $190 price target.
Price Target
+108%
$126 → $262achieved
Price target of $262 reached October 2025. Coverage closed following repeated earnings misses and a sharp downward revision to FY2026 guidance, with management guiding revenue of $4.8–5.2B, a 30% cut from prior estimates.
NEXTracker: Tracking the Future of Solar with a $70 Price Target
NEXTracker holds 23% global market share in solar tracking technology, boasts a CAGR of 30%, and carries a $4.5B backlog. My DCF analysis points to $67/share. I'm placing a $70 price target with 40% upside.
Price Target
+40%
$50 → $70achieved
Current Price
+132.8%
$50 → $116.41 now
Sprouts Farmers Market: Why I Bought the Dip, $153 Price Target
Despite a 25% post-earnings drop driven by cautious Q4 guidance, Sprouts Farmers Market's fundamentals remain strong. My DCF analysis implies a fair value of $153/share, a 94% premium to the October 31 price.
Price Target
+94%
$79 → $153
Current Price
-10.7%
$79 → $70.57 now
SiriusXM: Buy-Rated with $39 Price Target
SiriusXM generates over $1.2B in annual free cash flow behind a satellite infrastructure moat and 180M+ trial-equipped vehicles on the road. My DCF implies $39/share, a 70% premium to the current price of $23.
Price Target
+70%
$23 → $39
Current Price
+13.7%
$23 → $26.14 now
How We Track Performance
Entry prices are the closing price on publication date. Price Target is the published valuation target. Current Price updates every ~4 hours during market hours. When a pick hits its price target and coverage is closed, the hypothetical proceeds are reinvested equally into remaining active picks still below their targets. The S&P 500 benchmark uses actual SPY prices over the full holding period. Past performance does not guarantee future results.