Research & Analysis
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Equity research, market commentary, and macroeconomic analysis.
The Power of Patience in the Market
In today's market environment, one of the most important disciplines an investor must practice to be successful is patience, rooted in preparation, valuation, and the willingness to wait.
Sprouts Farmers Market: Why I Bought the Dip, $153 Price Target
Despite a 25% post-earnings drop driven by cautious Q4 guidance, Sprouts Farmers Market's fundamentals remain strong. My DCF analysis implies a fair value of $153/share, a 94% premium to the October 31 price.
Can Brad Jacobs Repeat His M&A Playbook with QXO?
Brad Jacobs has built five billion-dollar companies through disciplined M&A. Now with QXO, he's targeting the $800B building products distribution industry. Can he do it again?
Inside President Trump's "Big Beautiful Bill"
On July 4th, 2025, President Trump signed the One Big Beautiful Bill Act into law. Here's a breakdown of the key provisions: Medicaid work requirements, SNAP changes, new tax deductions, SALT expansion, and more.
Reassessing Airline Stocks: A Risky Play for Long-Term Portfolios
Airlines are essential to global travel, but are they essential to your portfolio? High fixed costs, thin margins, economic sensitivity, and bailout dependency make a compelling case to invest elsewhere.
Markets March Higher, First Solar Breaks $190 PT, NEXTracker Beats on Earnings in a Big Way
The S&P 500 erases 2025 losses on U.S.-China trade pause. First Solar blows past my $190 target. New PT is $262. NEXTracker posts a major earnings beat: revenues up 25.5% YoY, EPS beats by 32%.
NEXTracker: Tracking the Future of Solar with a $70 Price Target
NEXTracker holds 23% global market share in solar tracking technology, boasts a CAGR of 30%, and carries a $4.5B backlog. My DCF analysis points to $67/share. I'm placing a $70 price target with 40% upside.
First Solar: Buy-Rated with $190 Price Target Despite Emerging Policy Risks
Despite a 41% post-election selloff driven by IRA uncertainty, First Solar's fundamentals remain compelling. My multi-model valuation (DCF, EV/EBITDA, PE, P/CF) all converge below fair value, supporting a $190 price target.